Trump–Putin Alaska Talks Spark Ceasefire Deal Fears, Ukraine Left Out

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Trump–Putin Alaska Talks Spark Ceasefire Deal Fears, Ukraine Left Out

United States: On Friday, former rivals turned negotiators — US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin — are meeting at a Cold War-era air force base in Alaska. Their goal: to discuss a possible ceasefire in Ukraine, which is now the deadliest conflict in Europe since World War Two.

The meeting is drawing intense global attention. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has been left out of these talks entirely, a move that has raised alarms in Kyiv and across Europe. Many fear Trump could strike a deal that effectively “freezes” the war and leaves Russia in control of about one-fifth of Ukraine’s territory — without Ukraine’s formal consent.

What’s at Stake for Trump and Putin

For Trump, the summit is an opportunity to frame himself as a global peacemaker — a leader capable of ending a war that has dragged on for three and a half years. He has often called the conflict a “bloodbath” and has promised to bring it to a close, even once claiming he could do it in just 24 hours. However, he admitted on Thursday that the challenge has proven tougher than expected, according to Reuters.

Putin, meanwhile, already sees this meeting as a diplomatic win. It allows him to claim that Russia is no longer isolated despite years of Western sanctions and political pressure. By sitting down with the US president, he can show the world that Moscow still holds a central seat at the table in global affairs.

The Road to Alaska

The Alaska meeting — scheduled to begin at 11 am local time (1900 GMT) — marks the first US-Russia summit since 2021. Back then, relations were already tense, but Putin’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine sent them to historic lows. Now, after years of fighting, both sides appear to be testing whether a compromise is possible.

Sources close to the Kremlin say Putin understands that Russia’s economy is under strain and that the costs of continuing the war are high. This could make him more willing to consider a deal. Reports suggest he might accept freezing the conflict along current battle lines, provided NATO pledges not to expand further east and certain Western sanctions are lifted.

Signals from Both Sides

On Thursday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov arrived in Alaska wearing a sweatshirt with the old USSR emblem — a symbolic reminder of Russia’s Soviet past. While the Kremlin has said no official documents will be signed at this summit, it praised Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff, for laying the groundwork, as reported by Reuters.

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For its part, the U.S. has been cautious. Trump recently told European leaders, including Zelenskyy, that Ukraine must be involved in any discussions about ceding territory. He also appeared to back the idea of security guarantees for Kyiv — though details remain vague.

Putin’s Leverage: Nuclear Talks and Sanctions Pressure

Putin is also offering something Trump has long wanted — the possibility of a new nuclear arms control agreement. The last major treaty between the two countries, New START, is set to expire in February next year. Without it, there would be no formal limits on the world’s two largest nuclear arsenals.

Still, the Russian leader’s public demands for ending the war remain strict. He has called for Ukrainian troops to withdraw from all parts of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson that they still control — about 21,000 square kilometers (8,100 square miles). He also insists Kyiv must abandon its NATO ambitions and declare itself permanently neutral.

Ukraine sees these conditions as unacceptable, arguing they amount to surrender.

The Risk of a Fragile Truce

While some Kremlin insiders suggest common ground may be possible, trust remains low. Putin has signaled openness to a ceasefire but insists on verifying compliance before making any move. Zelenskyy, however, has accused Moscow of using negotiations as a stalling tactic to avoid further US sanctions.

Trump has floated the idea of territorial concessions as a way to “break the logjam,” but such a move would be deeply controversial in Ukraine and among its allies.

For Kyiv, the priority is clear: any agreement must include firm security guarantees backed by Washington. How such guarantees would be enforced — and what role the US would play — is still unclear.

What Happens Next

If Friday’s meeting produces progress, Trump says he hopes to arrange a three-way summit with Zelenskyy and Putin soon afterward. For now, the world will be watching Alaska closely, looking for signs that the war’s most bitter chapter could be nearing an end — or that the conflict will enter yet another stalemate.

Whatever the outcome, this summit is not just about Ukraine’s future. It’s a test of whether Washington and Moscow can still negotiate major deals in a world that has changed drastically since their last Cold War-era confrontations.

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